Records:
Caz: 2-3 | + $744
TB: 4-3 | + $2,032
TB’s Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (vs. Chicago Cubs)
Odds: PHI 1.83
Wagers Placed:
2x $500 – Liquidation: 3.75
To Win: +$1.33K
Wheeler's Elite Form
We’ve got a solid matchup in Philadelphia tonight, with Zack Wheeler on the mound for the Phillies. He’s been lights out this season, holding right-handed batters to a .286 wOBA and lefties to an even better .242 wOBA. On top of that, Wheeler is running a 30%+ strikeout rate against hitters from both sides of the plate. He’s in total command right now.
Boyd Solid, But Outmatched
Matthew Boyd has also been having a respectable season, but he hasn’t been quite as dominant as Wheeler. He’ll be facing a Phillies lineup that hits lefties well, which puts him in a tough spot on the road.
Low-Scoring Spot Favors Philly
This game projects to be low scoring, which plays into our hands — reducing the risk of early liquidation while giving Wheeler the space to work. With home field advantage, the better arm, and a lineup built to handle lefties, I’m backing the Phillies with a 2x wager here.
Caz’s Pick: Rays & Red Sox Moneylines
Odds: Rays +103 | Red Sox -112
Wagers Placed:
- Rays: 2x $320 – Liquidation: +310
- Red Sox: 2x $180 – Liquidation: +279
To Win: Rays +$979 | Red Sox +$501
⚾ Why the Rays Might Win
Strong underdog performances
Tampa Bay has been clutch in the underdog role, winning 6 of their last 7 as dogs.
Bullpen depth & rotation rebound
After a 14‑6 run over their last 20 games, a rested bullpen and a reinvigorated Shane Baz—who already succeeded in Boston earlier this season—give them a solid shot.
Key hitters in form
With Jonathan Aranda batting .321 and Yandy Díaz producing consistently, Tampa’s offense has the firepower to challenge Fenway.
⚾ Why the Red Sox Could Prevail
Momentum from a big series win
Boston just took 2 of 3 at Yankee Stadium and are riding a wave of confidence.
Fenway advantage
The home team trend favors Boston—they’ve won six straight at home against the Rays.
Explosive offense
Averaging nearly 5 runs per game recently, with Rafael Devers on a seven-game hitting streak, they’re built for run-scoring.
🔍 Matchup & Odds Snapshot
Pitching duel:
- Rays: Shane Baz (4.96 ERA)
- Red Sox: Brayan Bello (3.91 ERA)
Tight moneyline:
- Boston –112
- Tampa Bay +103
- Projections: 51/49 split
Scoring outlook:
- Over 8.5 expected
- Strong scoring potential from both squads
