June Juice – June 12th
Records
- Caz: 5–5 | +$2,202
- TB: 4–7 | +$32
TB’s Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline (vs. San Francisco Giants)
Odds: LAD @ 1.63
Wagers Placed: 5x $500
Liquidation: 2.19 | To Win: +$1,580
Analysis:
TB is swinging big with a 5x bet on the Dodgers. The call? Ride with L.A.'s power bats at home. Pitching-wise, Yamamoto edges out his matchup—especially when you zoom in on the K-rate vs. right-handed hitters (28.1%).
San Francisco’s likely rolling out seven righties, and we’ve seen time and time again: these bats don’t scare anyone. The wOBAs are similar, but Yamamoto’s strikeout upside and L.A.’s offensive ceiling tip the scale. Let’s get risky and look for the Giants to stay quiet on the scoreboard.
Caz’s Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline (vs. Miami Marlins)
Odds: WSH @ -124
Wagers Placed: 2x $500
Liquidation: +2.65 | To Win: $831
Why I’m Backing the Nats:
- Marlins on the Road
- Just 11–21 (.344) away from home this season — worst in the NL East.
- Historically weak travelers: .417 all-time road win percentage.
- Just 11–21 (.344) away from home this season — worst in the NL East.
- Nats’ Home Pitching Edge
- Opponents hitting a wall in D.C.—2.93 ERA & 1.11 WHIP for Nationals’ starters at home vs. Miami in their last 10.
- Washington has taken 12 of the last 16 vs. Miami, including 3 of 4 at Nationals Park.
- Opponents hitting a wall in D.C.—2.93 ERA & 1.11 WHIP for Nationals’ starters at home vs. Miami in their last 10.
- Head-to-Head Trends
- Miami is just 4–12 vs. Washington in their last 16.
- On the road? Even worse: 1–6 in their last 7 in D.C.
- Miami is just 4–12 vs. Washington in their last 16.
- Momentum Shift
- Miami’s cold: swept by the Rockies, lost 8 of their last 10.
- Washington’s bats are waking up, and their pitching’s staying steady.
- Miami’s cold: swept by the Rockies, lost 8 of their last 10.
- Expert Consensus
- Analysts are leaning Washington. Pitching edge + Miami’s road collapse = value.
- Analysts are leaning Washington. Pitching edge + Miami’s road collapse = value.
The Bottom Line:
The data lines up:
- Marlins are ice cold away from home.
- Nats thrive at home, especially against this Miami squad.
