Records:
Caz: 4-4 | + $2,197
TB: 4-5 | + $1,032
TB’s Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline (vs. Colorado Rockies)
Odds: SF 1.45
Wagers Placed:
3x $500 – Liquidation: 2.19
To Win: +$680
Coors Field Boosts the Bats
I’m taking this pick strictly based on the pitching matchup. Neither of these teams has hit well all season — but Coors Field has a way of waking up cold bats, and tonight should be no different. One of these teams, however, is sending out a pitcher who would’ve been sent down by now if he were on any other roster.
Kyle Freeland: A Risk on the Mound
Let’s talk numbers. Kyle Freeland is giving up:
- .368 wOBA to right-handed batters with just a 16.2% K rate
- .307 wOBA to lefties with a 21% K rate
Worse yet, he’s allowing nearly a 90% hard-hit rate to hitters from both sides. That’s not a typo — and not a good sign when pitching at altitude.
Robbie Ray Holding Strong
Meanwhile, Robbie Ray has been holding it down despite minimal run support from San Francisco. He’s allowed around a .250 wOBA to both sides of the plate, showing consistency and control that Freeland just hasn’t matched this season.
The Play: San Francisco at Coors
This feels like a perfect spot for the Giants to break out offensively, and with Ray on the bump, I’m backing San Francisco in a game they should control at the plate and on the mound.
Caz’s Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline (vs. Baltimore Orioles)
Odds: DET -101
Wager Placed:
2x $500 – Liquidation: +249
To Win: $1.49K
Dominant First Game Performance
Detroit opened the series with a statement—beating Baltimore 5–3 behind Spencer Torkelson’s two-run homer and a stout relief showing from Sawyer Gipson‑Long. That emphatic road win sets the tone perfectly for today.
Superior Pitching Matchup
Casey Mize (6–1, 2.91 ERA) draws the start for Detroit, and analysts expect him to shine. Prop betting markets favor him to hold Baltimore to under 2.5 earned runs. In contrast, Orioles starter Zach Eflin (5–2, 4.47 ERA) hasn’t offered the same consistency — a clear edge for the Tigers.
Offensive Momentum
Detroit’s offense was red-hot in Game 1: four players notched two hits apiece, combining for 12 hits total. With bats like Riley Greene and Gleyber Torres locked in, last game’s success should carry over.
Recent Dominance Over Orioles
Detroit has beaten Baltimore in every matchup this season, outscoring them 22–9. They’ve won the last five head-to-head games, making today’s game feel like a continuation of a streak, not a fluke.
Strong Tigers Overall Form
Detroit sits atop the MLB standings with the best record in baseball (44–24), including a hot 11–4 stretch recently. Baltimore, meanwhile, has dropped three of four at home—and could be deflated after back-to-back series losses.
Final Pitch
With momentum, pitching, and confidence all in their corner, the Tigers are well-positioned to sweep the series. Expect Mize to stifle the Orioles, the bats to keep rolling, and Detroit to claim Game 2.
